๐Ÿ“ฆ justinlew / pokemon-predictive-analysis

๐Ÿ“„ Pokemon_Pred_Analysis.Rmd ยท 165 lines
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165---
title: "stat445project"
output: html_document
---

```{r setup, include=FALSE}
knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE)
```

Install packages needed.
```{r}
install.packages("caret")
install.packages("ggplot2")
library(caret)
library(ggplot2)
```


## Importing the datasets

```{r}
setwd("/Users/justinlew/Documents/SFU/STAT445/project/pokemon-challenge")
getwd()
combats <- read.csv("combats.csv")
pokemon <- read.csv("pokemon.csv")
tests <- read.csv("tests.csv")
combats2 <- read.csv("combats.csv")
tests
head(combats)
head(pokemon)
head(tests)
combats$HP <- NA
combats$Attack <- NA
combats$Defense <- NA
combats$Sp..Atk <- NA
combats$Sp..Def <- NA
combats$Speed <- NA
combats$Total <- NA
combats$Result <- NA
for (row in 1:nrow(combats)) {
  #if the first pokemon won
  if (combats[row, 3] == combats[row, 1]) {
    combats[row, ]$HP <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$HP - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$HP
    combats[row, ]$Attack <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Attack - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$Attack
    combats[row, ]$Defense <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Defense - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$Defense
    combats[row, ]$Sp..Atk <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Sp..Atk - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$Sp..Atk
    combats[row, ]$Sp..Def <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Sp..Def - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$Sp..Def
    combats[row, ]$Speed <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Speed - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 2],]$Speed
    combats[row, ]$Result <- 0
  } else {
    #if the second pokemon won
    combats[row, ]$HP <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$HP - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$HP
    combats[row, ]$Attack <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Attack - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$Attack
    combats[row, ]$Defense <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Defense - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$Defense
    combats[row, ]$Sp..Atk <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Sp..Atk - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$Sp..Atk
    combats[row, ]$Sp..Def <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Sp..Def - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$Sp..Def
    combats[row, ]$Speed <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 3],]$Speed - pokemon[pokemon$X.==combats[row, 1],]$Speed
    combats[row, ]$Result <- 1
  }
  
}


combats$Result <- factor(combats$Result)
logisticRegression <- glm(Result ~ HP + Attack + Defense + Sp..Atk + Sp..Def + Speed, data = combats, family = "binomial")
summary(logisticRegression)
predict(logisticRegression, newdata = test)

```

## Manipulating the test dataset


```{r}
calcDiff <- function(arr) {
  counter <- 0
  arr$HP <- NA
  arr$Attack <- NA
  arr$Defense <- NA
  arr$Sp..Atk <- NA
  arr$Sp..Def <- NA
  arr$Speed <- NA
  arr$Total <- NA
  arr$Result <- NA
  for (row in 1:nrow(arr)) {
      arr[row, ]$HP <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$HP - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$HP
      arr[row, ]$Attack <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$Attack - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$Attack
      arr[row, ]$Defense <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$Defense - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$Defense
      arr[row, ]$Sp..Atk <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$Sp..Atk - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$Sp..Atk
      arr[row, ]$Sp..Def <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$Sp..Def - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$Sp..Def
      arr[row, ]$Speed <- pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 1],]$Speed - pokemon[pokemon$X.==arr[row, 2],]$Speed
      if (arr[row, 1] == arr[row, 3]) {
        #result is 1 if the first Pokemon who attacks first wins
        arr[row, ]$Result <- 1
      } else {
        arr[row, ]$Result <- 0
      }
      if (row %% 1000 == 0) {
        counter <- counter + 1
        print(counter)
      }
  }
  return(arr)
}
combats <- calcDiff(combats)

```

Split into training and test set.
```{r}
sampleSize <- floor(0.75 * nrow(combats))
set.seed(123)
train_indices <- sample(seq_len(nrow(combats)), size = sampleSize)

train <- combats[train_indices,]
test <- combats[-train_indices,]
```

```{r}

```



Perform logistic regression on training set.
```{r}
install.packages("e1071")
library(e1071)
train$Result <- factor(train$Result)
test$Result <- factor(test$Result)
logisticRegression <- glm(Result ~ HP + Attack + Defense + Sp..Atk + Sp..Def + Speed, data = train, family = "binomial")
summary(logisticRegression)
logisticPrediction <- round(predict(logisticRegression, newdata = test, type="response"))
confusionMatrix(logisticPrediction, test$Result)
test$Sample <- logisticPrediction

ggplot(test, aes(x=Sp..Def, y=Sample)) + geom_point() + stat_smooth(method="glm", method.args=list(family="binomial"), se=FALSE)
```



```{r}
install.packages("class")
library(class)
```

```{r}
training <- train
testing <- test
training$Total <- NULL
testing$Total <- NULL
training$Result <- NULL
training$First_pokemon <- NULL
training$Second_pokemon <- NULL
training$Winner <- NULL
testing$Result <- NULL
testing$First_pokemon <- NULL
testing$Second_pokemon <- NULL
testing$Winner <- NULL
knn <- knn(train=training, test=testing, cl = train$Result, k=2, prob=TRUE)
sum(knn == test$Result)/12500
table(knn, test$Result)
```